What’s Really Going on with Iran?

RUSH: So I got an interesting email. "Mr. Limbaugh, what do you think or who do you think is really stirring up this business with Iran?" It's a good question, 'cause you know who's buddy-buddy with Iran and who has been over there attempting to undermine Trump administration on policy with Iran is none other than John Kerry -- the haughty John Kerry, who served in Vietnam.

I think that his daughter married some Revolutionary Guard assassin or something, some such thing. His daughter married somebody from over there. The foreign minister's third cousin, I don't know what, but there's some family tie now. And of course, the Iran deal in the Obama administration was one of their great things, they believe, and Trump has come in and has summarily ripped it apart and backed out of it, which has cost the Iranians 150 (what was it?) billion dollars or million dollars, whatever we dropped on the tarmac there.

So they're ticked as they can be over sanctions and Trump's relegating them to this secondary status, and the fact that John Kerry (you can put Obama in this sentence or not) has been actively advising the Iranians on how to deal with Trump... (interruption) Well, no, they shoot down the drone. You know, this drone... Do you know how much this drone cost? This drone's a $100 million drone. That drone cost more than EIB One! That drone -- and there's nobody on this drone.

It has a wingspan, by the way, that's as big as a 737, and the thing is masterful. It looks like a whale, a humpback whale up there. It can fly 24 hours at something like 100,000 feet without being refueled. How do you shoot it down? But they claim that they've done it. But it might be a fake video that the Iranians put together to show that this thing was supposedly over their airspace. I'm just saying. I don't know anything.

This is just intelligence guided by experience. We know that John Kerry has been attempting to undermine -- let's say "advise" the Iranians on how to deal with -- Trump. We know that the Obama administration's got to be livid over what happened to the Iran deal, because look what they were doing. They were running out telling everybody that the Iran deal was gonna prevent the Iranians getting nuclear weapons. It was one of the greatest signature achievements of the Obama Regime.

It turned out that the Iranian deal was gonna permit them to ramp up their nuclear technological capability to being able to nuclear weaponize missiles and so forth at some point down the road, and that has now been pulled back. And I guarantee you, you do anything to humiliate the Obama administration or start unraveling, unraveling, unwinding some of their policies and they're not gonna be happy. So until I hear otherwise, I'm not gonna rule out this as a possibility. I'm not alleging it, either.

I'm just answering a question that I got.

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RUSH: By the way, I'm told that John Kerry's daughter's not married to some Iranian Revolutionary Guard assassin. It's a myth. I guess I fell for that. I take it back! I didn't mean it if it's not true. Notice I'm correcting it right away, the moment I find out about it. I thought it was true. I had not heard it debunked. I'm being told it's been debunked.

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RUSH: Somebody asked President Trump, "So, we gonna hit Iran?" and the president said, "Stand by. You'll soon find out." Now, that's got everybody now on edge, and I just want to tell you, folks, there are a lot of people -- and I don't know how close they are to Trump. There are a lot of people... Not just the old famous stand by neocons, but there are a lot of people in Washington -- I guess they would be closer to neocons than not -- that they're fed up, like, that we never responded to the Khobar Towers.

We never responded to when Reagan was president, the bombing of the barracks and the 251 dead Marines, that we just don't respond to this stuff and it's about time that we do. My point is, I'm sure there is a lot of pressure in the form of advice being given to President Trump: "You can't let them get away with it! You can't let them shoot down one of our drones whether it's in their airspace or not," even though we're claiming that it was in international airspace and therefore Iran has committed a violation.

I'm just telling you that there are gonna be a lot of people urging President Trump do this. On the other side of that, you have people who think Trump was elected in part to stay out of this accuse stuff, to stop going to war in the Middle East, to stop sending all these troops and all these battle plans and everything over there. Pat Buchanan had a column this week essentially warning Trump, "You do this and you're putting a lot of things at risk here. This is one of the things. You don't want anything to be called Trump's war. You just don't want this."

That was Buchanan. I don't know if Trump reads Buchanan, but with something like this, there's been a lot of pent up anger -- and some of it justified -- at the lack of United States response to attacks on our soldiers over the decades, attacks that have gone unresponded to and have been people pushing, as you well know, for serious action against Iran (just on general principles) for quite a while. So it will be interesting to see how this shakes out.

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RUSH: Okay. Again just to make sure there's no confusion about it, I admitted that I erred. Kerry's daughter is not married to an Iranian anything, Revolutionary Guard, assassin, or whoever. I corrected that back 10 minutes ago, and I'm getting emailed, (impression) "You you you you're not right, that’s not right, she’s not..." So I'm correcting it again. John Kerry's daughter is not married to an Iranian anything of the sort. It has been debunked. Now, here's Lindsey Graham, ladies and gentlemen, on Capitol Hill just today, after a classified Senate briefing on Iran, shooting down of the drone. Here's what Senator Graham had to say.

GRAHAM: I talked to the president this morning, I'm gonna meet him this afternoon.

REPORTER: -- Iran made a big mistake, sir --

GRAHAM: They made a big mistake shooting our drone down.

REPORTER: Is that provocative in and of itself to tweet that --

GRAHAM: No. What's provocative is to shoot the drone down. What's provocative is to blow up a Japanese oil tanker with a Japanese prime minister in your office trying to start negotiations with the United States. What's provocative is having your proxy shoot into Saudi Arabia. Trump's not the problem. So here's the way this is headed. If there's a war with Iran, they lose. I'm confident it would be very devastating to the region. It will not be pretty. Don't want to go there. But what more do you expect the president to do?

RUSH: So again here's the media trying to make it look like Trump's unstable, unnecessarily provoking the mullahs. And it's the other way around. You know, Lindsey Graham is one of the few Republican senators that you can count on to back up President Trump and be supportive. And he's absolutely right about all this. What's provocative is to shoot the drone down. What's provocative is to blow up a Japanese oil tanker, while the Japanese prime minister's in your office trying to start negotiations with the U.S. So here's the way this is headed. If there's a war with Iran, they lose. “I'm confident it would be very devastating to the region,” he says. What the Iranians have going... In a way it's somewhat similar to how it was with Saddam back in the early nineties, even the pre-weapons of mass destruction days.

Saddam loved creating the image and having the reputation that he was the biggest anti-American threat in the Middle East, that Saddam Hussein was who the Americans were worried about, Saddam Hussein was who the Americans cared about. And when all these stories of weapons of mass destruction came up, Saddam Hussein didn't debunk them. He tried to prepare reports that made it look like he had them but that he was hiding them. He just come out of an eight-year war with Iran when the weapons of mass destruction thing came up. Well, actually when the first Gulf War came up, they were spent, and we sent them back to Baghdad inside less than two days.

And I think the Iranians are in much the same situation. Trump has told them that the Iranian nuke deal's not gonna happen. Sanctions have been placed back on them. They really are in dire circumstances economically. And so what's left for them is to go the Saddam route, to huff and puff and to make themselves look like they are impenetrably powerful and they're people that you don't want to mess with, state sponsors of terrorism, and so forth. But it's not yet clear that they've actually succeeded in creating a nuclear weapon.

So this is why what Senator Graham said is so important, because you got these... Back in the days when Saddam was huffing and puffing, you had people...I remember before the Gulf War, the first one that we won in two days, I'll never forget this. ABC News' Sam Donaldson doing a story on all the body bags that were being crash manufactured to handle the number of deaths of American soldiers because we just couldn't compete with Saddam's army. They were people of the desert and of the sands, and our troops would be so outmatched. Our troops wouldn't have a chance. It would be the biggest mistake in the world for George H. W. Bush to commit the United States to military action in the Middle East against Iraq because we wouldn't stand a chance.

And these reports were everywhere. And they're happening again now. That Trump is somehow incapable and incompetent, that the Iranians are far more committed than we are. That's always part of these stories too. It was the same thing with Iraq back in the early nineties. The Drive-By Media would say the Iraqis, (impression) “They know desert warfare. They just came out of eight years with Iran. They're loaded for bear.” And within six hours the Iranians were waving the white flag of surrender and begging to join the American side. They could not have been more wrong.

All I'm saying is be suspicious as you always are now when the media gets reporting these things and makes it look like that Iran is the big power and the United States is outclassed and outmatched, and we don't have any idea how to defeat these people, blah, blah, blah. Just keep it all in perspective.

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RUSH: We'll start in Dallas. Johnny, great to have you with us on the EIB Network. Hello.

CALLER: Hey, Rush, great to talk to you.

RUSH: Thank you, sir.

CALLER: I had a quick comment on this talk of war with Iran. Historically, there have been measured responses. Specifically, I'm talking about April 18th, 1988, after a U.S. warship backed over a mine in the Persian Gulf. Within 48 hours, there was a measured strike targeting Iranian frigates and platforms, and it was significant. It was a major exchange, devastated their military, and within a couple of months the war between Iran and Iraq ended.

RUSH: So you're saying that, what?

CALLER: I'm saying that everybody talks about "war with Iran," but it would likely be measured responses against small boats or launching stations -- and it would be over within 48 hours.

RUSH: Now, that's a good point. We talked about this earlier. If there is a response... For example, the drone. If we respond to the drone being shot down, the likelihood is we would not bomb the mullahs' mosque or their tent, residence, whatever, that we would go after the place that the missile that took down the drone was launched from. It would hit that air base or wherever it was. If the Iranians do something on the open seas and inflict damage or try to take out one of our ships, we would not (again) hit the mullahs' tent or their mosque.

We would, instead, go find a port where that launched from, came from, and take it out. And this is what, I'm sure, Johnny here is referring to as a measured response. (interruption) Well, I know they're saying they're gonna come right back if we dare do that. That's part of it. That's why when you get into this you better be resolved, better be resolved to finish it. You better be resolved to commit to it if you're gonna actually do one of these things. If the objective is to, you know, play a game of bluff, and hitting back at them will make them stop?

The Iranians don't have anything to gain by stopping. The Iranians... I cannot overemphasize how much the canceling of Obama's Iran deal damaged them in untold ways economically. Not just militarily. The re-imposition of sanctions has brought them to a screeching halt. All of their modernization plans, revitalization plans -- like the national airline, buying new aircraft -- all this stuff has been very, very slowed down.

And everybody involved in it, including Kerry and Obama, are livid that Trump unwound that, as well as are the Iranians. So the Iranians' big play here is to huff and puff and to act unafraid and unintimidated. They've got a reputation they've got to uphold. They're the state sponsor of worldwide terrorism, for crying out loud! That doesn't mix well with cowering or fading away. So we'll see.

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RUSH: I can tell you two things that Trump is not gonna do as a result of the drone being shot down. The first thing he's not gonna do is send Pompeo over there with a pallet of cash -- $150 billion -- to give to mullahs and ask them to stop it. The next thing he's not gonna do, is he's not gonna tell the Drive-Bys when or what he's going to do, unlike the way Obama telegraphed such actions.

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RUSH: We have a couple sound bites President Trump on Iran. Last I heard during the break was that The Situation Room's gonna be busy today in the White House and that the administration has invited committee chairmen up (this would include Democrats, of course, from the House) for essentially a briefing. I don't think their advice is going to... They may be asked what they think, but I think it would be pro forma. It's primarily a briefing that is planned. That makes it pretty serious.

Here is the first of the two bites we have from the president...

THE PRESIDENT: Iran made a big mistake. This drone was in international waters, clearly. We have it all documented. It's documented scientifically, not just words -- and they made a very bad mistake.

REPORTER: (unintelligible)

THE PRESIDENT: You'll find out.

REPORTER: Going to war --

THE PRESIDENT: You'll find out. You'll find out. Obviously... Obviously, you know, we're not gonna be talking too much about it. You're gonna find out. They made a very big mistake.

RUSH: And the next bite here, there's a -- he was talking to the -- to reporters, unidentified reporter said, "Mr. President, you said Iran's a different country. You -- you still hold that opinion?"

THE PRESIDENT: I think probably Iran made a mistake. I would imagine it was a general or somebody that made a mistake in shooting that drone down. And fortunately that drone was unarmed. It was not... There was no man in it. It was over international waters, clearly over international waters. But we didn't have a man or woman in the drone. We had nobody in the drone. Would have made a big difference, let me tell you. Would have made a big, big difference. But I have a feeling... I may be wrong and I may be right. But I'm right a lot. I have a feeling that it was a mistake made by somebody that shouldn't have been doing what they did. I find it hard to believe it was intentional, if you want to know the truth. I think that it could have been somebody who was loose and stupid that did it.

RUSH: All right. That... Right there, that comment may have saved the markets today. That comment at the end of the sound bite here -- "because I have a feeling that it was a mistake made by somebody that shouldn't have been doing what they did" -- calmed a lot of fears. That statement by the president made it possible that this was not a state sponsored act, that it was not a mini- or pre-declaration of any hostilities but rather a mistake by an overzealous incompetent somewhere in the Iranian military.

Because at the time this was all happening, the stock market was in a free-fall mode. It was down 200 points from the high at the time President Trump made these remarks, and the market is right now showing about plus 150. Charles Payne has even tweeted about this: "The big story right now it's President Trump the supposed war hawk actually saved the rally...the market was in free fall mode down 200 points from high" because of the drone shoot-down, "when President Trump seemed to offer benefit that this was a mistake perhaps from an overzealous person" in Iran.

That comment... You would not believe how that comment calmed everybody down and settled a bunch of really frayed nerves. Now, this is not, this is not to say the president isn't getting advice from people who have been longing to hit Iran for many, many years. He's being advised to do it, I'm confident. I don't know it for certain. But I know that those people are there and they're part of the advice circle.

Now, that comment was really -- and you know what? Whether it's true or not, it was really a smart thing to say. It immediately calmed frayed nerves. It turned down the temperature. But it did not forestall us. It does not prevent us from taking action. It buys us some time, and it acknowledges that it may not be what it appears to be. But if we find out that it was not a mistake, that it was not some overzealous incompetent that did this, then we're not foreclosed from taking action.

This was really, really smart, folks -- and I think that Charles Payne's exactly right, and I think a lot of credit is due. You can't... Well, I am sure you can, actually. You can imagine the tension, 'cause this supposed coming war with Iran, which has been something on the burner for many, many, many moons. And here today, why, it looks like they have actually launched it. So saying this really, really lowered the temperature. It's a good thing to say.

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RUSH: We go to Brookfield, Connecticut. This Duane. Great to have you, Duane. Hi.

CALLER: Hi, Rush. I was thinking about this Iranian deal with the ship getting hit with the bomb or the mine, whatever it was. I would say let the Japanese send a fleet of their own in, 'cause our president has made us energy free. We are now the net exporter of oil. I mean, this is kind of the deal that he wanted was to be independent of this.

RUSH: True. We're a net exporter of oil and natural gas.

CALLER: Yeah! So, I mean, I would say let the Japanese send a fleet in, if they want to get some kind of retaliatory action on this. As far as the drone, I don't know. You know how Mr. Trump is. You hit him; he's gonna hit you harder.

RUSH: Yeah. I do know how Mr. Trump is. Ha-ha-ha. I don't... Are you suggesting that because we are a net exporter of oil that we not screw it up by getting involved in this?

CALLER: I just don't know if the American people want to get involved in another altercation over there again. It just seems like it's never ending. I think it was Japanese flagged. I would say let the Japanese handle this.

RUSH: Yeah. To me, this is a deeply interesting subject because all of these previous commitments that are still going on were made by people of the swamp who have vested interests in ongoing operations. There's money to be made in war! There are careers waiting, after you have serviced the necessities of war, as somebody in government. Trump is a different animal. I've only got ten seconds here so I can't elaborate here. Let me take a stab at it after our bottom-of-the-hour obscene profit time-out. Thanks for the call, gain. I know where you're coming from, and a lot of Trump voters probably agree with you.

This article originally appeared on Premiere Networks

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